Why We Need World Models for AGI: Where LLMs Fail and How World Models May Outperform

摘要

Large language models achieve strong performance in language generation and knowledge-intensive tasks, yet remain limited in settings requiring causal reasoning, persistent state tracking, and long-horizon planning. We argue that these limitations may arise from an objective-level mismatch between sequence prediction and reasoning over latent environment dynamics. To formalize this distinction, we introduce Latent Dynamics Inference (LDI), a conceptual perspective that interprets language and multimodal observations as partial evidence of underlying transition dynamics. To empirically investigate this perspective, we introduce Flux, a sequential reasoning environment specified entirely through natural-language rules. As a proof-of-concept case study, the rules are first compiled into an explicit state-transition simulator, illustrating that structured latent transition dynamics can, in some cases, be operationally extracted from textual rule descriptions. This enables a controlled comparison between the LLMs operating purely over textual observations and reinforcement-learning agents trained directly within the extracted latent state space. Within this case study, agents operating with explicit access to the latent state space exhibit substantially more stable behavior in long-horizon gameplay, achieving an aggregate win rate of approximately 79% versus 11% for LLMs. Qualitative analysis further reveals failure modes consistent with unstable persistent state tracking, including invalid actions, state-tracking errors, and short-horizon reasoning failures. The complete implementation of the Flux environment available at https://github.com/FeisalAlaswad/FLUX-RL-Agent Within the evaluated setting, these results suggest that strong sequence prediction alone may struggle to support robust long-horizon dynamic reasoning without mechanisms for persistent state tracking and transition modeling