Full Timescale Hierarchical MPC-MTIP Framework for Hybrid Energy Storage Management in Low-Carbon Industrial Microgrid

Abstract

Uncertainties in balancing generation and load in low-carbon industrial microgrids (IMGs) make hybrid energy storage systems (HESS) crucial for their stable and economic operation. Existing model predictive control (MPC) techniques typically enforce periodic state of charge (SOC) constraints to maintain long term stability. However, these hard constraints compromise dispatch flexibility near the end of the prediction horizon, preventing sufficient energy release during critical peaks and leading to optimization infeasibility. This paper eliminates the periodic SOC constraints of individual storage units and proposes a novel full-timescale hierarchical MPC scheduling framework. Specifically, comprehensive physical and cost models are established for the HESS composed of flywheel, battery, compressed-air, and hydrogen-methanol energy storage. The control problem is decoupled into a hierarchical MPC architecture. Furthermore, a novel adaptive feedback mechanism based on micro trajectory inverse projection (MTIP) is embedded into the scheduling process, accurately mapping the high frequency dynamic buffering capabilities of lower tier storages into the upper decision space to generate dynamic boundaries. Experiments using 14 consecutive months of second-level data from a real-world IMG validate the effectiveness of the proposed method, demonstrating its significant superiority over existing approaches. By effectively preventing limit violations and deadlocks in lower-tier storages under extreme fluctuations, it achieves a 97.4\% net load smoothing rate and a 62.2\% comprehensive cycle efficiency.