Real-Time GPU-Accelerated Monte Carlo Evaluation of Safety-Critical AEB Systems Under Uncertainty

摘要

Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB) systems represent a safety-critical national interest, with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standard (FMVSS No. 127) requiring AEB in all new light vehicles sold in the United States by September 2029. However, production implementations frequently rely on deterministic stopping-distance or Time-to-Collision (TTC) thresholds that fail to capture uncertainty in sensing, road conditions, and vehicle dynamics. This paper presents a GPU-accelerated Monte Carlo framework for stochastic evaluation of emergency braking performance using a high-fidelity longitudinal vehicle model incorporating aerodynamic drag, road grade, brake actuator dynamics, and weight transfer effects. A one-thread-per-sample execution strategy exploits the independence of Monte Carlo rollouts, while deterministic CPU-generated sampling ensures bit-exact numerical consistency between CPU and GPU implementations. The framework is evaluated across four hardware platforms spanning development and deployment environments: two laptop GPUs (GTX 1650, RTX 5070) and two automotive-grade embedded platforms (Jetson Orin Nano, Jetson AGX Orin). Peak speedups of 54.57x are achieved while maintaining exact numerical agreement. Real-time feasibility analysis with a complete AEB timing budget (700 ms human reaction time minus 120 ms perception and 50 ms decision overhead) demonstrates that the Jetson AGX Orin can execute approximately 25,000 Monte Carlo samples within a 530 ms budget, enabling real-time probabilistic AEB evaluation as part of a complete embedded pipeline. These results establish Monte Carlo-based uncertainty evaluation as a deployable runtime component rather than an offline validation tool and provide quantitative guidance for risk-aware AEB threshold selection under the NHTSA final rule.