Comparison-Based Ordinal Learning for Proactive Driving Risk Assessment

Abstract

Real-time driving risk assessment provides an essential basis for proactive safety by identifying and quantifying the danger of ongoing road interactions before adverse outcomes occur. However, due to the scarcity of collision data and frame-level risk labels, existing driving risk assessment methods often rely on surrogate objectives, which may imperfectly align with true collision risk and not faithfully reflect the relative danger of driving interaction. This paper proposes a comparison-based ordinal risk learning framework that learns collision-relevant risk scores from pairwise supervision in driving data, directly modeling relative risk ordering without requiring numerical frame-level risk labels. We derive pairwise comparisons from three sources of event-structured driving data for such ordinal risk learning: temporal progression within safety-critical sequences, event-level contrast between dangerous and normal interactions, and physics-based counterfactual perturbations. On this basis, instantiations with three risk-scoring function parameterizations are implemented, including directly learning risk scores from comparison data, and aligning existing single or multiple surrogate-based risk models. The proposed framework is evaluated on the 100-Car and SHRP2 naturalistic driving datasets using a proactive collision warning task. Results show that the proposed framework improves high-recall risk discrimination, warning precision, and warning lead time over representative surrogate-based baselines across both in-distribution and out-of-distribution evaluations. These results suggest that the proposed framework can contribute to proactive safety research by providing more reliable risk assessment for automated driving systems and safety-critical driving interactions.