Risk factors and prediction model for inadvertent intraoperative hypothermia in patients undergoing robotic surgery: a retrospective analysis

Abstract

This study explored the risk factors and established a prediction model for intraoperative hypothermia (IOH) in patients undergoing robotic surgery. We conducted a retrospective survey of patients undergoing elective robotic surgery at the China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University during June 2020-October 2021 using institutional medical records. Intraoperative core temperatures and potential influencing factors were collected, and regression analyses were used to assess the risk factors for IOH and establish a prediction model for the incidence of IOH. Overall, 833 patients who underwent robotic surgery were included in the final analysis; IOH was observed in 344 patients (incidence, 0.41; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.38-0.45). A higher body mass index (BMI) and baseline core temperature were protective factors for IOH. A final prediction model for IOH was developed based on the determining factors with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.85 under fivefold cross validation (95% CI 0.83-0.88). Accordingly, a lower BMI and baseline core temperature, thoracic surgeries, morning surgeries, and surgeries with longer durations were risk factors for IOH during robotic surgeries. Our prediction model has an excellent discrimination ability for predicting IOH in robotic surgeries.