Simulating Arbitrage Optimization for Market Monitoring in Gas and Electricity Transmission Networks
Noah Rhodes, Sachin Shivakumar, Luke S. Baker, Kaarthik Sundar, Anatoly Zlotnik
- Year
- 2026
- Access
- Open access
Abstract
We examine market outcomes in energy transport networks with a focus on gas-fired generators, which are producers in a wholesale electricity market and consumers in the natural gas market. Market administrators monitor bids to determine whether a participant wields market power to manipulate the price of energy, reserves, or financial transmission rights. If economic or physical withholding of generation from the market is detected, mitigation is imposed by replacing excessive bids with reference level bids to prevent artificial supply shortages. We review market monitoring processes in the power grid, and present scenarios in small interpretable test networks to show how gas-fired generators can bid in the gas market to alter outcomes in a power market. We develop a framework based on DC optimal power flow (OPF) and steady-state optimal gas flow (OGF) formulations to represent two interacting markets with structured exchange of price and quantity bids. We formulate optimization-based methods to identify market power in a power grid, as well as to identify market conditions that indicate market power being exerted by a generator using gas market bids.
Keywords
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