Data-Driven Privacy-Preserving Modeling and Frequency Regulation with Aggregated Electric Vehicles via Bilinear Hidden Markov Model

Abstract

Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) technology allows bidirectional power flow for real-time grid support, making electric vehicles (EVs) well-suited for ancillary services such as frequency regulation. However, existing methods for flexibility estimation and coordinating aggregated EVs often rely on individual EV traveling information (e.g., arrival/departure time) and/or characteristic parameters (e.g., charging efficiency, battery capacity) as well as real-time state-of-charge (SOC), which raises privacy concerns and faces data quality issues. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a data-driven, privacy-preserving modeling and control framework for frequency regulation using aggregated EVs. The proposed method can provide accurate estimation for power outputs and flexibility of aggregated EVs and carry out effective frequency regulation without any individual EV information. Simulation results validate the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed method, which also outperforms the model-based and federated learning-based method under SOC data inaccuracies.